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Bitcoin (BTC) may be entering uncharted territory as one widely-followed analyst argues that the cryptocurrency is in the early stages of its first-ever supercycle, pointing to price action that diverges from patterns seen in prior market cycles and could signal a structural shift for its long-term trajectory.
Top analyst Plan C sparked fresh debate after suggesting that Bitcoin is approaching its first supercycle. In a post on X, he projected that this extended bullish phase could take the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization to an unprecedented $250,000, a level he described as a historic milestone and a potential change in long-term market structure.
Plan C dates the beginning of this cycle to November 2022, when Bitcoin bottomed out in the bear market near $16,000 amid severe market stress. He links that period to widespread weakness across the crypto sector, intensified by the implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX empire.
As market stress eased and sentiment improved, Bitcoin rebounded sharply from sub-$16,000 lows, later surging to a high of just above $126,000 in October 2025. Plan C characterizes this move as the first significant peak of the ongoing cycle, suggesting it could be an early landmark within a broader supercycle structure.
After that rally, Bitcoin corrected sharply toward the $60,000 region in February 2026. Plan C identifies this decline as a mid-cycle bottom. His view aligns with Grayscale Investments, which also pointed to the February 6 lows as a “durable market bottom” for the current cycle.
Looking ahead, Plan C expects the next major bullish phase to unfold between late 2027 and early 2028, with a projected peak near $250K. He frames this as an estimated 206% increase from the current price of around $81,655.
Plan C argues that the current setup is structurally different from previous cycles, describing it as Bitcoin’s first true supercycle. In his view, this would represent a departure from the historically reliable four-year mining reward halving cycle that has defined earlier bull and bear phases.
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