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Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded net inflows of $8.99 million on April 4, a sharp contrast to March’s $1.32 billion. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by June 30 are facing increased pressure.
Ethereum ETFs posted a larger net inflow of $71.16 million. Solana and XRP saw only minor inflows, indicating a more selective approach by investors across major crypto assets.
The article attributes the softer Bitcoin ETF inflows to uncertainty tied to the Middle East conflict, particularly involving Iran. This has dampened investor risk appetite, contributing to tepid demand for Bitcoin ETFs compared with March.
Despite reports that odds for Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by June 30 have increased (as cited from @zerohedge and @CryptoBusy), the modest April 4 inflows suggest limited bullish sentiment. The article highlights geopolitical tensions and investor caution as headwinds to optimism for the $100,000 target.
The inflow pattern is described as more consistent with a shift in capital allocation than a broad increase in risk-taking. The article also notes that total trading volume is low, with no recorded 24-hour face value, suggesting market hesitation and that smaller trades could have an outsized effect on odds.
Limited inflows are presented as evidence of cautious investor behavior amid geopolitical risks. The article advises that traders consider a “YES” share at a discount as a contrarian play if tensions ease or favorable regulations emerge, while emphasizing that risks remain elevated under “Extreme Fear” sentiment.
It also points to potential catalysts to monitor, including statements from institutional players such as BlackRock or Fidelity and any SEC regulatory developments, which could materially change sentiment and market odds.

In brief\n\nBitcoin dropped to about $93,000, falling back below the EMA50 and putting its recent golden cross at risk of invalidation. The global crypto market cap stands at $3.15 trillion, down 2.38% in 24 hours. On Myriad Markets, 82% of the money is betting on Bitcoin pumping to $100K before…