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Ethereum Foundation co-director Hsiao-Wei Wang departs amid leadership turnover.

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Technical Analysis News

Tokenpost5 days ago

Bitcoin (BTC) investors who use steady dollar-cost averaging (DCA) may be underperforming versus strategies that adjust exposure to the market’s cycle, according to new research arguing that Bitcoin’s behavior differs from traditional long-duration assets. In a report cited by Markus Thielen of 10x Research, Bitcoin’s market structure has repeatedly followed a boom-and-bust pattern since 2011. The cycle is described as being shaped by supply shocks around halvings, surges in speculative demand, and later deleveraging. The report contrasts this with equities or bonds, where long-term compounding and diversification can reward consistent accumulation plans. BITCOIN’S RECURRING DRAWDOWNS AND WHY DCA MAY FALL SHORT Thielen pointed to four cycles since 2011 in which Bitcoin rallied into euphoric phases before experiencing deep sell-offs. The report says declines of more than 70% have recurred, with peak-to-trough drawdowns reaching as much as 80%. It argues that this magnitude of downside can turn a persistence-based strategy into a prolonged recovery problem when investors remain fully exposed during broad risk-off regimes. While DCA is widely used in traditional markets to reduce timing risk and smooth volatility, Thielen contended that in Bitcoin it can function more as “psychological comfort” than as a robust risk-management tool. The limitation, according to the report, is that DCA assumes investors can tolerate—or eventually outgrow—downturns through gradual accumulation. In Bitcoin’s case, the severity and frequency of bear-market drawdowns can overwhelm that assumption, particularly if exposure is not reduced during structurally negative periods. CYCLE-AWARE ALLOCATION: ADJUSTING EXPOSURE USING SIGNALS As an alternative, the report advocates a “cycle-aware” allocation approach that increases or decreases exposure based on data-driven signals intended to distinguish bullish and bearish regimes. Thielen said Bitcoin bull and bear phases typically unfold in 12-to-18 month windows and can be identified using a combination of price action, momentum, and on-chain indicators. Within the framework presented, 10x Research evaluated 10 signals, including momentum, trend measures, and on-chain cost-basis metrics, to determine when conditions were favorable or unfavorable. The analysis suggested that when positive signals dominated, Bitcoin’s average monthly return approached 25%. In negative regimes, losses widened materially, producing a performance gap of more than 30 percentage points between the two states. BACKTEST RESULTS: IMPROVED RISK-ADJUSTED PERFORMANCE The report also states that regime-based exposure management improved risk-adjusted performance. It cited a Sharpe ratio of 1.22 for the cycle-based strategy versus 0.82 for a simple buy-and-hold approach. Maximum drawdown was also reported to improve. The analysis found.

Decrypt5 days ago

Tokenpost5 days ago

Bitcoin Cycle Strategy Outperforms DCA as Volatility Challenges Traditional Approach

cafef.vn5 days ago

Gold prices rise to over 151 million VND per tael in morning trading on June 19

cafef.vn5 days ago

Vietnam targets 10 technology giants by 2030 with $1 billion in revenue and at least 5,000 employees

The Currency Analytics5 days ago

LAB surges 35.40% as Aster drops nearly 10% — Daily Movers June 19

Hot Trending Gainers (24h)Gainers


PER PERP Perpetual Protocol	$0.019	+0.64%	$311.75K
DYN DNX Dynex	$0.00928	-9.40%	$30.95K
RAD RXD Radiant	$0.0000782	+0.47%	$61.69K

#	Name	Price	1h%	24h%	7d%	Market Cap	Vol(24h)	Circulating Supply
871	PER Perpetual ProtocolPERP	$0.019	+1.22%	+0.64%	-2.64%	$1.44M	$311.75K	66M PERP
872	DYN DynexDNX	$0.00928	-8.15%	-9.40%	-13.45%	$1.44M	$30.95K	106.04M DNX
873	RAD RadiantRXD	$0.0000782	-1.13%	+0.47%	-4.62%	$1.43M	$61.69K	15.06B RXD

	#	Name	Price	1h%	24h%	7d%	Market Cap	Vol(24h)	Circulating Supply	Last 7 days

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CryptoTicker1 day ago

XRP holds above $1.40 as Bitcoin and Ethereum breach key levels

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vneconomy.vn1 day ago

Morning trading was weak as blue chips led declines, but from 10:30 a.m. the leadership group unexpectedly aligned. A wave of large-cap stocks rebounded and rose sharply, lifting the VN-Index higher in a sustained advance and closing up 1.06% at 1,918.51 points. All of the 10 largest-cap stocks on HOSE…

vneconomy.vn1 day ago

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