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XRP may be entering a more constructive phase, according to a thread on X by market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts). On April 21, Martinez argued that the asset is showing a structural trend shift from bearish to bullish, supported by trend-following indicators, whale accumulation, exchange supply dynamics, and a tightening chart structure that could set up a larger move.
Martinez’s first signal is a change in the macro trend on the daily chart. He said the SuperTrend indicator has issued its first buy signal since January, marking a reversal after months of persistent sell pressure. In his post, he wrote that the daily chart SuperTrend “flashed a buy signal for the first time since January,” suggesting selling pressure is waning and XRP could be gearing up for a trend reversal.
He also referenced an earlier April 18 update, noting that for the first time since Jan. 17, the SuperTrend indicator flipped bullish on the daily chart and that the “real test lies at $1.55.”
The second sign relates to positioning from large holders. Martinez said on-chain data from Santiment shows whales accumulated roughly 360 million XRP over the past week. He argued that continued accumulation would add weight to the idea that the trend change is supported by capital rather than a short-lived bounce.
The third sign is the setup forming on lower time frames. Martinez said XRP has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle, which he suggested could foreshadow a 35% move once price breaks out decisively. He linked the pattern to improving macro conditions, supply being pulled off exchanges, and price coiling into a tighter range.
The fourth sign is the clarity of breakout and invalidation levels. Martinez said a daily close above $1.55 would validate the breakout and could open the way toward $1.90, which he described as the key resistance level that has capped upside recently. He also said the bullish outlook remains intact only as long as XRP holds the $1.30 support zone.
Martinez framed the outlook as a potential transition from defense to offense, with defined levels that would confirm or weaken the thesis. He noted that a bullish SuperTrend flip, whale accumulation, a compressed triangle, and a nearby resistance test are not proof on their own, but together they form a coherent case that XRP may be moving out of a bearish regime and into an early bullish one.
At press time, XRP traded at $1.4368.
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