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After a low of $92.25 on Friday, 6 February, Aave’s token price rallied 29.7% over the past two weeks. At the time of writing, it was trading at $119.64, but the long-term trend remained bearish. The 3-day chart shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the final week of September.
In summer 2024, the $117.57 area acted as an obstacle to bulls attempting to recover. Bulls eventually overcame that resistance in August 2024, triggering a rally that nearly reached $400 by the end of the year. That same long-term level later returned as a reference point, with Aave trading around it again.
Using a Fixed Range Volume Profile tool from August 2024—when the support/resistance flip occurred—through the present, the Value Area Low was identified at $121.2, while the Point of Control was at $168. The profile was cited as highlighting long-term bearish pressure on Aave.
To prevent a potential slide toward $50 later this year, the bulls would need to defend the $80–$100 demand zone. On-balance volume (OBV) was reported as being above the April 2025 lows, which was described as a hopeful sign for bulls. An AMBCrypto report also noted that the protocol’s revenue-generating capacity remained strong.
Total Value Locked (TVL) briefly rose to $27.7 billion, but over the past ten days it receded to $26.3 billion. Separately, news that BGD Labs—described as one of the top service providers to the Aave DAO—would quit by early April was highlighted as a factor affecting the Aave ecosystem division.
On the 4-hour chart, the $130 area was identified as a key supply zone in February. Repeated attempts to break above it suggested that bullish momentum in Bitcoin could be enough to push AAVE beyond local resistance.
Further up, $148.6 was described as a pivotal resistance. Given the longer-term downtrend, a bearish continuation from this level was expected. A different scenario would emerge if Aave broke above $163.9, which would indicate a bullish swing-structure shift and potential recovery.
Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.
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