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Bitcoin slid to a low near $60,000 on February 6, after sharp losses on February 5 that triggered $1.84 billion in long liquidations. With market participants warning that the bear market could worsen, subsequent developments—including U.S.-Iran tensions—failed to produce the expected continuation lower.
In early March, calls for new lows below $60,000 became popular. Instead, Bitcoin bulls drove a gradual uptrend. The rally was accompanied by heavy profit-taking and heightened speculative interest, setting up multiple short-squeeze days.
CoinGlass liquidation data showed that, since late February, there were six days in which short liquidations across the crypto market exceeded $400 million. Over the same period, crypto long liquidations reached the $390 million level on two occasions, but did not cross $400 million even once.
The April uptrend extended to $79.4k by April 22, then receded to $75.6k at press time.
The article linked crypto volatility to U.S.-Iran developments, including joint military action with Israel and the resulting Strait of Hormuz crisis. It noted that the Strait accounts for roughly 25% of global seaborne oil traffic, raising long-term inflation risks.
It also described how Bitcoin’s moves tended to pull aggressive altcoin activity, and how headline-driven trading—along with rapid shifts in sentiment—contributed to liquidation waves.
Beyond geopolitics, the article cited “quantum FUD” and concerns about Bitcoin’s network security as adding to perceived pressure on crypto.
It referenced a BBC report examining trade volume data across several markets, which allegedly found a suspicious pattern of some large traders profiting right before President Trump’s headline-grabbing announcements. The article also said traders have had to contend with market-shifting news and Trump’s Truth Social posts ahead of market opens.
In late March, it noted that Iran’s parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf tweeted that traders and investors can use U.S. political headlines as a “reverse indicator.”
Bitcoin’s reaction since the outbreak of aerial strikes and naval blockades has been described as “remarkably positive” in the article. It concluded that the market saw six days of high short liquidations after Trump’s State of the Union address, alongside a headline-driven environment that the article characterized as resembling a suspicious pattern ahead of news announcements.
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