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At press time, Bitcoin was trading near $81,000 after testing resistance above $82,000. Despite the rebound, geopolitical risks remain elevated following President Donald Trump’s rejection of Iran’s latest counterproposal to end the U.S.-Iran conflict. Iranian state media said Tehran’s demands included war reparations, recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, and an end to American sanctions.
Analysts said several factors have helped Bitcoin regain momentum, with renewed spot Bitcoin ETF inflows among the most important. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $623 million in net inflows last week, extending a streak of six consecutive weeks of positive inflows. The figures suggest institutional positioning remains intact, even as short-term traders appear to take profits around the $80,000 area.
The market also appears to be digesting earlier gains. A recent two-day outflow streak indicates some fast-moving capital has trimmed exposure after Bitcoin’s rebound, while longer-term allocation demand continues to support the broader trend.
While Bitcoin remains the core institutional crypto allocation, inflows are not limited to BTC. Ethereum ETFs recorded $70.49 million in net inflows last week, led by BlackRock’s ETHA, which saw $100 million in net inflows. The pattern points to renewed interest in Ethereum, though demand appears concentrated in a major product rather than evenly distributed across the full Ethereum ETF complex.
Solana and XRP also attracted fresh capital. Spot Solana ETFs recorded $39.23 million in net inflows, while spot XRP ETFs added $34.21 million. These flows suggest that as macro pressure eased and risk appetite improved, investors began adding higher-beta exposure beyond Bitcoin.
On-chain data also supports the view that market conditions are improving. Bitcoin’s adjusted spent output profit ratio has remained above 1.0 for nine consecutive days since May 1. The adjusted SOPR tracks whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or a loss; readings above 1.0 indicate holders are spending coins at a profit on average.
Analysts said the nine-day streak shows Bitcoin is absorbing profit-taking without triggering a sharp price breakdown. They described it as the strongest sustained profitable-spending sequence since the October-to-November 2025 period.
Another early bull signal cited by analyst CW came from the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, which reportedly issued its first signal of this kind since early 2023.
In terms of technical levels, support is cited near $79,100 to $80,600, while resistance remains near $86,500. A move above that zone could shift focus toward $90,000, while a loss of support could bring the $73,400 area back into view.
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