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The cryptocurrency market is currently at a crossroads where investors must decide between collapse or recovery. Traders are paying to maintain short positions, while price and exchange-traded fund flows suggest that a Bitcoin bull market is in the making. An analyst from Alphractal notes that capitulation models and the tactical sentiment index have dropped to all-time low zones. Generally, this behavior occurs before significant rebounds, similar to the bottoms recorded in the 2015, 2018, and 2022 cycles. > 🚨 $𝗕𝗧𝗖 𝗳𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗵𝗶𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟯. 7-day MA: -0.005% Every time this happened historically — March 2020, mid-2021, post-FTX — it marked a local bottom within 21 days. Our Market Capitulation… [pic.twitter.com/zVJ1sqZvzg](https://t.co/zVJ1sqZvzg) — Alphractal (@Alphractal) [April 22, 2026](https://twitter.com/Alphractal/status/2046922016922730803?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) Uncertainty pervades the market; however, Bitcoin’s volume shows unusual resilience against liquidations. The persistence of negative funding rates, even with a stabilized price, acts as fuel for a potential large-scale “short squeeze.”
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