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Traders on prediction markets are pointing to growing optimism around XRP’s price outlook for May 2026. With XRP maintaining sustained sessions above the $1.40 mark, most traders expect the token to remain above $1.50, while assigning lower odds to higher breakouts.
According to data obtained by Finbold from Kalshi on May 13, traders currently see a 78% probability that XRP will trade above $1.50 at some point during May. The market also assigns a 37% chance that XRP could climb above $1.60.
Higher price targets are viewed as less likely: the probability of XRP moving above $1.70 is 16%, while the odds of surpassing $1.80 stand at 11%. The market gives only a 7% chance of XRP rising above $1.90 during the month.
For the psychologically important $2 level, Kalshi traders estimate a relatively low likelihood. The market assigns a 6% probability that XRP will move above both $2 and $2.10 before the end of May.
The prediction market chart indicates sentiment has remained volatile throughout the month. Forecast probabilities briefly surged around May 11 before pulling back sharply, reflecting shifting trader expectations for XRP’s short-term trajectory.
By press time, XRP was trading at $1.42, after making modest losses of less than 0.3% over the past day. On the weekly timeline, XRP was down 0.5%. The token has been consolidating in the $1.40 to $1.50 range.
With this outlook, a sustained break above the $1.45 to $1.50 zone could open the door to targets near $1.70 or higher in the short term. Support levels are reported around $1.38, where sustained holding above this level will be crucial to anchoring XRP for a potential new high.
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