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Ethereum (ETH) has stalled in recent trading after failing to move above the $2,400 level over the past week. The token has continued to retreat as some investors rotate toward other altcoins.
Over the past 30 days, ETH has gained 3.6%, while Solana (SOL) and BNB (BNB) have returned 15% and 11%, respectively. The article attributes the shift to improving sentiment and a recovery that appears to be drawing attention away from Ethereum.
Market participants are watching the progress of the Clarity Act in the U.S. Congress. The legislation is described as a potential catalyst for broader stablecoin adoption in the U.S., which could benefit Ethereum given its role in decentralized finance (DeFi) and real-world assets (RWA).
Despite this policy focus, the report says traders have struggled to push ETH above the $2,400 “sell wall.”
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains neutral at 49, reflecting investor caution. The article links this caution to instability in the Middle East and an upcoming transition of leadership within the Federal Reserve.
It also notes that the next few weeks could be important depending on how the Clarity Act advances through the Senate’s Banking Committee and on developments in Iran.
Last week, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to Ethereum recorded $71 million in inflows. The article contrasts this with higher inflows into Bitcoin-linked funds, describing the divergence as consistent with early-cycle behavior.
According to the report, investors have not yet concluded that the downtrend has ended and are taking a cautious approach until further confirmation.
Futures-market activity appears to be increasing, which the article frames as a sign of growing speculative interest and bullish positioning ahead of a potential breakout above $2,400.
CoinGlass data cited in the article shows ETH open interest (OI) rising from a mid-February low of around $24 billion to $33 billion at the time of writing—an increase of 38% over three months. The report adds that this remains about 50% below the $70 billion peak seen in August last year, but notes that OI is trending higher.
The article interprets the move as a possible early signal of a cycle bottom, suggesting speculators are returning after months of losses.
The report says it continues to track ETH’s path after a strong buy signal on the weekly chart. It highlights a historical pattern in which the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell below 30, noting that in the last three similar instances ETH went on to surge over the following years and either made a new all-time high or retested a prior high.
It identifies the $1,800 level as the cycle bottom and expects a sustained recovery over the next 12 months. The article also states that ETH could still retreat back toward $1,800, framing such a move as a potential buying opportunity.
It further suggests that a move above the RSI signal line previously served as a “tell” for the start of ETH’s next bullish cycle. If price were to retreat to $2,150, the report says it could create a trading opportunity.
On the daily chart, the article says ETH hit the same ceiling that limited gains in March, but did not immediately drop afterward. Instead, it has consolidated in a range between $2,250 and $2,400.
The report characterizes this as accumulation and says the RSI supports the consolidation, with the oscillator oscillating within a tight range. It describes the consolidation as a “decisional” phase for ETH, arguing that a break above $2,400 could trigger a rally toward $2,800—its baseline short-term target.
That scenario implies 22% upside from current levels, along with a break above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). The article adds that such confirmation would suggest the worst of the bear market is over.
On the 4-hour chart, the report points to the strength of the $2,400 sell wall, noting ETH has failed to climb above that mark five times in the past month. It says selling pressure appears to be weakening as buy signals increasingly outnumber sell signals.
Specifically, the article states that buy signals outpace sell signals by 3 to 1 on the lower time frame. It interprets this as evidence that institutions and “whales” are accumulating ETH at these levels, referencing “decisional” candles with above-average volumes and a specific candle pattern.
The report suggests ETH could bounce off the low $2,220s if the pullback continues, but it does not expect a full decline to $2,150, citing bullish momentum.
It also outlines a potential trade setup: a break above $2,400 accompanied by a buy signal would confirm institutional support. With a stop price set at $2,300 and a target at $2,800, the article describes a risk-reward ratio of 4x.
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