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As the Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to signal near-term selling pressure, asset manager Franklin Templeton has issued a bullish prediction for 2026. Christopher Jensen, director of Digital Asset Research at Franklin Templeton Digital Assets (FTDA), said the firm’s base case is for BTC to return above $100,000 in 2026.
In an interview with Milk Road on Thursday, April 30, Jensen said there is a path for BTC to reclaim its 200-day Moving Average (MA) before rallying back above $100,000. He also emphasized that Franklin Templeton is not forecasting $1 million per BTC within 12 months.
“Everything is kind of probability weighted. But if we are talking about our base case, you know, I think we think we’re back above the $100,000 mark, which is kinda the key threshold,” Jensen stated.
Jensen added that a BTC price path above $100,000 could involve high volatility and choppy consolidations.
Franklin Templeton’s representative said Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remain trapped in a macro bear market. The firm pointed to BTC’s technical trend since its all-time high (ATH) of around $126,198 about seven months ago, noting that BTC has been forming lower lows and lower highs.
Franklin Templeton reiterated its bullish stance on Bitcoin for 2026, citing several factors:
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