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HBAR’s structure began shifting as price compressed beneath a descending long-term trendline and the $0.10 horizontal resistance, where sell pressure had repeatedly capped upside. Buyers gradually absorbed supply in the $0.073–$0.090 range, forming higher lows that suggested weakening bearish control.
Momentum then expanded, and a decisive weekly close above $0.10 confirmed a structural breakout and a breach of the trendline. Follow-through buying pushed the price toward $0.134, establishing the first higher high after the downtrend. Although rejection wicks appeared in this supply zone, pullbacks held above $0.097–$0.10, indicating support reclamation rather than a breakdown.
Holding above former resistance reflected acceptance, while defense of the higher-low formation supported an early higher-timeframe trend reversal. Together, the breakout, the support flip, and the higher-highs/higher-lows pattern pointed to a transition from distribution into early bullish trend development.
As the bullish structure matured, volume and leverage flows accelerated. Hedera (HBAR) recorded clear volume expansion during the rebound phase, with FedEx joining Hedera’s council. Spot trading volume surged by more than 43%, exceeding $200 million.
Price also advanced about 7%, reclaiming key moving averages, which was presented as confirmation of buyer conviction. Demand was described as originating from the $0.09 support base, suggesting accumulation rather than speculative rotation.
The rally was also aligned with an inverse head-and-shoulders formation. Rising volume into the neckline break was cited as strengthening the pattern’s validity and sustainability.
Derivatives data added context to the move. Futures open interest rose 9% to nearly $29 million between February 11 and February 12. Funding rates flipped positive near +0.05%, indicating leveraged longs entering more aggressively.
While leverage can amplify upside momentum, the article also flagged crowding risk: elevated positioning can increase squeeze potential if price holds, but it can also raise vulnerability to pullbacks if spot demand fades.
At the time of writing, HBAR continued to face macro downside pressure, with price trading below the descending trendline from the $0.21 November 2025 peak. Sellers were still defending the lower-high structure, while demand was described as rebuilding near the $0.078 base.
However, buyers were pressing into the $0.10–$0.104 supply band after breaking short-term market structure between $0.090 and $0.102. If price secures sustained closes above $0.10, the article said buyers would likely target the $0.11–$0.134 resistance corridor, with follow-through strength confirming a breakout and extending the emerging higher-low sequence.
That said, repeated rejection wicks near $0.104–$0.107 were cited as evidence of active supply. If sellers push price back below $0.098–$0.10, the breakout could be invalidated, potentially leading to a retracement toward $0.090 or a retest of the $0.078 demand floor.
The structure is described as being at an inflection point: structural validation above the $0.10 supply area would determine whether reversal momentum expands or fades. The article’s overall takeaway is that HBAR’s break above $0.10—supported by higher lows and volume expansion—signals an early bullish transition, but continuation depends on sustained confirmation above $0.10 amid supply overhead and leveraged long crowding near $0.104–$0.107.
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