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During the crash on 10 October 2025, Injective (INJ) registered a low of $2.79 on Binance, falling 77.37% from $12.11 within a single day. Since then, price action has remained steadily bearish, with the altcoin spending much of the past two months near those lows without deviating substantially from the $2.79 level.
Over the past week, INJ rallied 9%, and it gained 7.5% within the past 24 hours. Open Interest rose 10.2% in a day, indicating increased capital flow into derivative markets following the mainnet performance upgrade, IIP-632, announced last week.
Despite the rebound, short-term momentum appears insufficient to overcome the longer-term downtrend. The weekly chart remained weak for bulls: after revisiting the lows from the October crash, INJ bounced 38% in a month, but technical indicators still pointed to bearish momentum.
The Aroon indicator showed limited improvement, with Aroon Up barely registering movement—suggesting INJ was still far from challenging local highs or setting new ones. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stood at -0.21, consistent with heavy capital outflows on higher timeframes.
The weekly swing structure was described as bearish. The internal high at $5.9 needs to be breached to signal a relief rally. From current market prices, INJ would need to rally 53% to reach that level.
On a bullish break scenario, INJ could potentially rally toward the $11.29–$13.60 “golden pocket” before a possible retreat. Until $5.9 is surpassed, the outlook remains bearish.
If the bounce continues and reaches the $4.66–$5.21 area, traders should consider selling. The overall assessment is that the current INJ rally is best viewed as a bounce rather than a sustained reversal, with more losses considered likely in the coming months.
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