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Bitcoin has climbed back above $75,000 as easing Middle East tensions reduced risk appetite and helped drive inflows into the crypto market. A 10-day ceasefire linked to the Israel-Lebanon front, along with Iran’s declaration that the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial shipping, contributed to cooler oil prices and improved sentiment across stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin is trading around $76,778, after reaching an intraday high of $78,240. The key question for traders is whether the move signals the start of a sustained advance toward $100,000.
The sequence of events behind the latest lift in Bitcoin began in early April. Hours before the deadline set by US President Trump, the US and Iran reached a two-week temporary ceasefire agreement mediated by Pakistan, with formal peace talks scheduled in Islamabad.
Major exchanges and market makers also increased exposure quickly. Binance purchased approximately 29,344 BTC, Coinbase bought 20,756 BTC, Kraken bought 8,600 BTC, and Wintermute and Bybit added additional positions. Together, these transactions totaled close to $4.5 billion in Bitcoin.
Over the past 48 hours, the breakout above $75,000 has been attributed to traders reacting to signs that geopolitical pressure may be easing, at least temporarily. At the same time, Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded strong demand, including $663.91 million in inflows on Friday alone, bringing the weekly total to $996.38 million. This steady capital inflow helped Bitcoin regain levels it had struggled to hold earlier in April.
While Bitcoin is trading at its highest level in 11 weeks, on-chain sentiment data suggests the rally is not being driven by broad optimism. According to Santiment, bearish commentary is still dominating social discussions, with three negative comments for every two positive ones.
The data indicates that even as prices push higher, skepticism continues to outweigh excitement. The article notes that this kind of environment has often coincided with continuation moves, because rallies that rise without a surge in crowd optimism may face less immediate selling pressure from overheated positioning.
Bitcoin’s advance has crossed a descending trendline that capped rallies since October 2025, when Bitcoin reached approximately $126,000. However, the 50-day exponential moving average remains below the 200-day EMA, suggesting the broader trend is not yet fully aligned with a sustained run.
Whether Bitcoin can move from the current $76,000 to the $78,000 range into six figures may depend on more than geopolitical tailwinds. Sentiment trends cited in the article indicate that many traders expect Bitcoin to stall around the mid-$80,000 region. At the same time, that expectation could be a positive sign if the rally extends beyond smaller traders’ assumptions and pushes above $90,000.
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