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Solana (SOL) is currently trading near $92.90, having broken out of a descending channel that constrained price action for roughly 12 months. The technical pattern began around the $250 area and coincided with a decline of nearly 75% before the recent reversal.
Market analyst Ted Pillows said SOL has reclaimed its 100-day simple moving average, a milestone not seen since October 2025. He noted that if Bitcoin remains stable, SOL could move toward the $100 to $105 zone. After acting as resistance for several months, regaining the 100-day SMA is viewed as a meaningful shift in near-term trend dynamics.
On the hourly timeframe, SOL reached an intraday peak of $96.85 before a modest retracement. The asset is trading above its 100-hourly simple moving average and is holding a short-term ascending trendline that provides support around $92.20.
Fund flows tied to Solana have added support. Investment products tracking Solana recorded $56.6 million in net capital inflows over the past 30 days, including a single-day inflow of $6.7 million.
Blockchain analytics also pointed to a previously dormant address that bought approximately $6.23 million worth of SOL within one trading session. According to Arkham Intelligence, the transfers originated from Binance and wallets associated with Wintermute before moving into Fireblocks custody infrastructure, which observers interpret as fresh strategic positioning.
Traders are monitoring several price thresholds. Overhead resistance is identified at $96.20, followed by $96.50, with $98 described as the primary level. A sustained close above $98 could open the way for upside toward $102 and then $105.
On the downside, downside protection is noted near $94 and $92.20. A break below $90 could trigger further declines toward $88.
Analyst Trader Symba characterized the current price area as a critical inflection point. He said a validated breakout could push prices toward $115, while rejection could lead valuations back toward $70.
The SOL/ETH pair is also under focus, with analysts citing a support region spanning 0.032 to 0.040 ETH. TraderSZ suggested the pair appears to have formed a bottom, implying Solana may show relative strength versus Ethereum if the technical structure holds.
SOL is currently valued at $92.90, down 0.72% over the past 24 hours. The $98 resistance threshold is the next key test for bullish momentum.
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