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Standard Chartered has cut its cryptocurrency forecasts, warning investors that Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 and Ethereum could drop to $1,400. The revisions, released February 16, come after weeks of sharp price swings that have unsettled traders and heightened uncertainty around crypto markets.
In its updated outlook, Standard Chartered lowered its Ethereum target to $1,400, reflecting what it described as current market dynamics rather than a change in its long-term view. A spokesperson said on February 16 that the revisions are based on substantial market evidence and are not intended to signal a broader, permanent shift in the bank’s perspective.
The bank’s analysts pointed to ongoing regulatory noise and macroeconomic uncertainty, describing conditions that have historically weighed on asset valuations. Standard Chartered also cited evidence from recent Bitcoin and Ethereum trading patterns as part of its reassessment.
Bitcoin has been volatile, with daily moves that have included double-digit swings. Standard Chartered said it cannot ignore the pace and magnitude of recent market changes, which have contributed to a rapid deterioration in investor confidence. Ethereum’s correction, the bank added, has been driven by fluctuating demand and shifting investor sentiment, alongside uneven trading volumes that make near-term forecasting more difficult.
Standard Chartered’s $50,000 Bitcoin target implies a 35% decline from current trading levels. The bank said the revised figure aligns with forecasts from Barclays and Deutsche Bank, suggesting a broader shift toward caution among major financial institutions.
Trading data from major exchanges indicates institutional volume has dropped by roughly 40% since January, with corporate treasury departments notably absent from recent buying activity. Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust has recorded consistent outflows totaling $2.8 billion over the past month, while MicroStrategy has not publicly indicated additional Bitcoin purchases since its last acquisition in December.
Standard Chartered’s forecast cuts also coincide with mounting regulatory pressure. The European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation took effect in late 2024, while the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission continues enforcement actions against major crypto exchanges. The resulting uncertainty has contributed to reduced institutional appetite for digital asset exposure.
Other large banks have also revised their crypto outlooks downward in recent weeks, including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, citing similar concerns about regulatory clarity and market stability.
Standard Chartered did not provide a timeline for further forecast adjustments. Market participants will need to wait for additional official communications to determine whether the bank will make further changes as volatility continues.

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