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Bitcoin’s price has already demonstrated that six-figure levels are achievable, surging past $100,000 and reaching a peak of $126,198 in 2025. Since then, a pullback has dragged the cryptocurrency to around $78,267. One crypto expert argues the decline is not the end of the cycle, but part of a broader structure that could set up a return above $100,000.
Crypto expert @TheRealPlanC said in a recent post that Bitcoin’s rally beyond $100,000 did not unfold under favorable economic conditions. Instead, he described it as developing during a contractionary business cycle—an environment that has historically constrained risk assets.
According to the expert, the subsequent decline was sharp, though not explained by market structure alone. He cited a mix of disruptions, including an exchange-related incident, institutional trading concerns, and heightened global uncertainty. Despite the pressure, the drawdown “settled” at roughly 52% from peak to trough, which he characterizes as a correction rather than a collapse.
In this framing, the $126,198 high is treated as the first peak in a market cycle that has not fully played out. The decline that followed is positioned as a reset within that larger sequence.
With Bitcoin trading well below its prior high, the key question becomes timing its return above $100,000. @TheRealPlanC links that prospect to an improving macro backdrop, pointing to data indicating the business cycle has moved above the neutral threshold for three consecutive months. He interprets this as a transition toward expansion.
Within that context, the expert views the drop from $126,198 to current levels near $78,267 as a mid-cycle reset rather than a prolonged downturn. Based on the framework, he expects Bitcoin to reclaim $100,000 as conditions improve.
@TheRealPlanC ultimately places the next major peak in 2027, suggesting that a move back above six figures could occur before then as momentum gradually rebuilds. Under this view, the current phase is part of an extended cycle: reclaiming $100,000 would signal continuation rather than completion.
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