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The crypto market entered the third week of February with recoveries across several altcoins, but overall negative sentiment has not yet improved. That backdrop can increase the risk of liquidations for traders positioned too aggressively. This week, XRP, DOGE, and TAO are drawing attention due to specific market developments, alongside defined downside and upside liquidation scenarios.
XRP’s liquidation map indicates that cumulative liquidation volume for Long positions slightly exceeds that of Short positions.
If XRP declines to $1.30, cumulative Long liquidations could surpass $200 million. If XRP rises above $1.63, cumulative Short liquidations could reach $150 million.
On Sunday, XRP briefly climbed to $1.66 before falling back below $1.50 on Monday. Analyst Dom pointed to selling pressure originating from the Upbit exchange, citing the XRP Spot Cumulative Volume Delta indicator.
According to the data, approximately 50 million XRP were net sold on Upbit within 15 hours, creating strong selling pressure. The selling activity appeared ahead of Lunar New Year’s Eve, a holiday period in many Asian countries that can raise concerns about declining liquidity.
XRP also accounts for a significant share of trading volume on both Upbit and Bithumb in South Korea. As a result, selling pressure from Asian investors could put Long positions at risk this week.
Community bullish discussions have encouraged traders to allocate capital to Long DOGE positions this week.
If DOGE falls to $0.091, cumulative Long liquidations could approach $90 million. If DOGE rises to $0.114, cumulative Short liquidations could total around $53 million.
Data from Nansen shows that DOGE exchange balances surged abruptly from February 12, when DOGE began its recovery amid rumors surrounding the upcoming launch of X Money.
The pattern suggests many investors may be using the recovery to exit positions by transferring tokens onto exchanges. If that continues this week, DOGE could correct and move toward liquidation levels for Long positions.
The listing of TAO on South Korea’s Upbit exchange on February 16 could provide fresh momentum to support a price recovery.
The liquidation map shows that if TAO climbs above $283 this week, Short liquidations could exceed $13 million. If TAO declines to $160, Long liquidations could reach $11.5 million.
As discussions around AI remain prominent and Bittensor (TAO) corrects toward a long-term support zone, analyst Michaël van de Poppe expects a strong recovery.
“I think that protocols working on AI <> Crypto are a must have in every portfolio and I’m glad I’ve added funds into this position. I think that we’re going to see more strength going forward from here. At least a mean reversion to ~$300,” Michaël van de Poppe stated.
New liquidity from Upbit, combined with van de Poppe’s assessment, could place TAO Short positions at risk.
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