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Ripple (XRP) reportedly began 2026 with momentum, securing two regulatory licenses and partnering with Aviva Investors. The initiative is intended to move the XRP Ledger (XRPL) closer to mainstream DeFi adoption by enabling XRPL to host Aviva’s traditional funds in tokenized form. Despite these developments, XRPL network fundamentals were described as remaining strong, with AMBCrypto citing that both the stablecoin market cap and RWA (real-world assets) values were at all-time highs and that capital inflows into the ecosystem have been elevated.
According to the report, XRP’s early-year progress includes two regulatory licenses and an Aviva Investors partnership. The stated goal is to support broader DeFi use cases on XRPL by bringing traditional funds into tokenized form on the ledger.
Even with the regulatory and partnership headlines, crypto analyst Ali Martinez said on X that XRP’s downtrend is likely to continue. Using a long-term ascending channel, Martinez pointed to the channel lows at $0.80 as the next price target.
Glassnode data indicated that the options market leaned bearish despite the EU regulatory licenses and the Aviva partnership. In September, the put/call ratio was 0.17, suggesting bullish bets (calls) outnumbered puts.
However, the picture changed over the following two months. At the time of writing, the put/call ratio had risen to 0.76, a nearly 4.5x increase. While still described as relatively low by traditional market measures, the level was characterized as high for an altcoin.
The report added that the last time the metric reached similar levels was during the local market bottom in April 2025, framing the move as a potential contrarian signal for market bottoms.
Coinalyze data supported the bearish interpretation. The Funding Rate had been negative for most of the past two weeks. In parallel, Open Interest was steadily falling. Together, these indicators were presented as evidence of bearish futures market sentiment.
The report noted that spot ETF flows were positive in February, but the broader macro picture for crypto remained bearish. It concluded that XRP holders may face additional downside risk in the coming months, reiterating $0.80 as a plausible target rather than an immediate expectation.
The XRP long-term scenario pointing to a move toward $0.80 was described as realistic, driven by bearish market sentiment reflected in price action and derivatives positioning.
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