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XRP has pulled back after advancing to $1.5074, with traders watching closely the technical levels that could determine whether the cryptocurrency resumes its upward move.
During its recent advance, XRP showed relative strength versus both Bitcoin and Ethereum, pushing above $1.45 before running into resistance near $1.5050. After that peak, selling pressure increased, pulling the price below $1.48 and $1.4620. The move also took XRP through the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level measured from the $1.3786 low to the $1.5074 high.
Current pricing is concentrated in the $1.42 to $1.44 range, with XRP holding above its 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the hourly chart, analysts point to an emerging bullish trend line, with support around $1.4420.
To regain upside momentum, bulls need to clear resistance at $1.4620. If that level is overcome, the next targets cited are $1.4770 and then $1.5050. Additional resistance areas are listed at $1.520 and $1.550.
If support at $1.4420 fails, attention shifts to $1.4280, aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A breakdown below that zone could accelerate losses toward $1.4120 and the psychological $1.40 level.
Analyst Darkfost said on X that XRP’s funding rates on Binance have remained negative for roughly three months, describing it as the longest bearish positioning in recent memory. The note is significant because XRP gained about 27% over the same period.
Darkfost also argued that the altcoin sector was among the first to be hit during the current correction amid a broader uncertain backdrop. He cited the Total3 index—crypto market cap excluding BTC, ETH, and stablecoins—falling by more than $544B.
As historical context, Darkfost referenced April 2025, when XRP traded around $1.25 with similar bearish sentiment, before posting a 126% rally. He added that when a strong consensus forms—especially after a correction exceeding 60%—it can indicate a potential reversal developing.
Separately, analyst CW said on X that “sub-indicator golden crosses” are forming, describing a full rally as “imminent.”
Cryptocurrency analyst Egrag Crypto focused on XRP’s weekly structure, arguing that prior cyclical bottoms have shown progressively smaller deviations below the 200-week Simple Moving Average. He described the first cycle low as roughly 60% below the 200-week SMA, with the next cycle low around 40% below.
Extending the pattern forward, Egrag suggested the next cyclical low could form about 20% beneath the 200-week SMA, which he estimated at approximately $0.93. He emphasized this is a “logical structure” rather than a guaranteed floor.
Egrag also said XRP continues to respect its long-term ascending trendline on weekly charts.
CoinGlass data showed futures volume contracted 34% to $2.05 billion, while open interest increased 1.05% to $2.72 billion. The open interest-weighted funding rate was 0.0052%, indicating marginally positive positioning.
According to CoinMarketCap, XRP’s 24-hour trading volume totaled $1.2 billion, down 30.48% from prior levels.
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