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Ripple’s native XRP token appears to be nearing the final stage before a potentially meaningful bullish breakout, according to a recent technical read focused on the two-week timeframe. The analysis points to a cluster of bullish factors—centered on long-held support and a developing chart structure—suggesting that price gains could accelerate if trading volume aligns.
In the technical analysis, analyst Chart Nerd highlights a convergence area that has been forming a base for XRP’s next move. The key elements include:
The analyst describes the overall formation as a falling wedge that is also building a foundation for support ahead of a potential breakout. From a bullish perspective, the analysis suggests XRP could move toward $1.80 or the $2 level if geopolitical developments are reflected in markets and the broader environment avoids another sharp downturn in the current month.
Chart Nerd also outlines a downside path tied to the Gaussian channel. If the lower band at $0.96 fails to hold, the analysis projects a roughly 60% to 70% decline, similar to the magnitude seen during prior bear cycles.
At the time of the analysis, XRP is trading at $1.40, up 1.17% since the previous day. The article also notes that the $2 and beyond price area has not been reached since late January 2026. It attributes additional uncertainty to the reported disruption of the Strait of Hormuz following the start of the war in Iran.
The analysis frames bear-cycle declines of 60% to 70% as a potential precursor to later rebounds, citing “triple-digit upswings” that followed in the past. It specifically references a 169% run that led XRP to its $3.65 all-time high last summer, following Ripple’s settlement with the SEC for $50 million.
The article describes the “final hurdle” as a long-term chart zone where multiple trend lines converge, positioned as the last major test before a broader bullish market structure shift. It suggests this shift is not immediate and is expected deeper into 2026, with the current period framed as more about base-building than a major rally.
It also provides the following level ranges:
Finally, the article reiterates that the information is for general purposes only and should not be considered trading or investment advice. It notes that trading in forex, cryptocurrencies, and CFDs involves a significant risk of loss.
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