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XRP has staged a recovery of roughly 30% from its February low near $1.11, leading some market analysts to outline scenarios that could push the token toward $12. The outlook is being supported by a mix of technical chart interpretations and recent blockchain and market-flow indicators.
Crypto trader MilkybullCrypto published a monthly timeframe analysis suggesting XRP is moving within an ascending channel formation dating to 2014. The token is currently positioned near the channel’s lower boundary, described as a key historical launch zone between $1.30 and $1.40. In that framework, the analysis points to a potential move toward $12, aligned with the channel’s median line.
MilkybullCrypto also cited the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP, noting it has declined into the 40–45 range. According to the analysis, this RSI zone has often preceded notable bullish price action. Another analyst, JD, similarly flagged the 40–45 area as consistent with a possible cyclical bottom.
JD’s bi-weekly chart view indicates XRP has escaped a prolonged symmetrical triangle pattern and is retesting the breakout threshold. In that scenario, the projected destination range is between $8 and $14.
Blockchain metrics from CryptoQuant are also cited as strengthening the bullish case. XRP whale transfers to Binance reportedly dropped to 736 million tokens, down from 2.6 billion in early March. The figure is described as the lowest reading in four years.
Reduced exchange deposits from large holders are generally interpreted as lower near-term selling pressure. The article notes that similar historical declines have been followed by supply constraints that contributed to price appreciation.
Market observer Dom added that while about $35 million worth of XRP was liquidated on Binance during the previous week, market participants continued placing fresh buy orders to absorb the selling. Dom suggested that a break above $1.47—especially if Bitcoin shows strength—could trigger a larger rally. His 12-hour analysis points to high-volume price objectives near $1.80 and $2.10.
In the United States, spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded $81.6 million in net capital inflows during April, described as their strongest monthly performance in 2026. May’s first week added another $28.17 million. Cumulative net assets across all XRP ETF products are reported at $1.43 billion.
The article also notes that UBS has allocated capital to the Grayscale XRP ETF. Separately, Rakuten Wallet incorporated XRP support in Japan, expanding access in a major retail market.
XRP is trading near $1.41. Its 24-hour range is reported between $1.40 and $1.46.
Source: SoSoValue
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