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XRP has been consolidating over the past week, holding the $1.40 support level despite broader market volatility. However, a potential bearish MACD crossover is raising the risk of a breakdown below the key support area.
After rallying about 17% to a monthly high of $1.50 in April, XRP has moved into a tight trading band between $1.40 and $1.46 for the past week. Buyers have not been able to reclaim the $1.45 resistance zone, leaving the asset range-bound while sentiment remains cautious.
The consolidation has also unfolded amid geopolitical uncertainty, including no progress in peace talks between the U.S. and Iran, with the conflict affecting the Strait of Hormuz—an important maritime route for global oil and energy flows.
On-chain data point to weakening momentum, including a significant drop in network growth and declining whale accumulation. Together, these factors suggest reduced demand from large holders.
Derivatives data from CoinGlass also indicate a shift in positioning. The long/short ratio of XRP futures has fallen below 1, a sign that more traders are betting on further price declines rather than upside continuation.
CoinGlass data show a liquidation cluster has formed at $1.40. Such clusters can act as a “price magnet” as market makers seek liquidity, increasing the likelihood of price moving toward that level if downside pressure builds.
On the daily chart, the MACD lines are close to confirming a bearish crossover, which is often associated with stronger downside in subsequent sessions. At the same time, the Supertrend indicator has flipped green, suggesting the local trend remains technically bullish.
This conflicting technical picture indicates a high-stakes battle between bulls and bears. If the bearish MACD crossover is confirmed, XRP could fall toward the $1.30 level, described as the next major psychological support, with potential for further downside if broader market sentiment deteriorates.
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