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XRP has reclaimed $1.50 for the first time in eight sessions, aiming to snap a five-week losing streak. The move is being supported by crypto-related legislative developments, strong demand for XRP spot ETFs, and rising expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. This week’s US CPI report also showed inflation cooling, boosting demand for risk assets.
Market participants pointed to hopes that the Market Structure Bill could make progress on Capitol Hill as a key factor behind the gains. In parallel, the US XRP spot ETF market recorded net inflows for a second consecutive week, indicating continued institutional demand for the token and supporting the medium-term outlook.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong also weighed in on recent crypto regulatory developments in Washington, saying there is progress toward a market-structure framework and that the industry is aligned. Armstrong noted that Coinbase attended recent White House meetings on stablecoin yields and argued for outcomes that are best for crypto users.
Optimism around crypto legislation is contributing to expectations for stronger XRP demand. The article also highlights a potential turning point in the traditional finance–DeFi stalemate on stablecoin yields as a factor that could support a bullish trend reversal.
Separately, speculation continues around the possible launch of an iShares XRP Trust. A launch by BlackRock’s iShares XRP Trust would be viewed as a signal of increased institutional interest and validation of XRP’s positive utility outlook, according to the article.
After reclaiming $1.50, the near-term outlook remains cautiously bearish over the next 1–4 weeks. Medium-term targets cited in the article point to $2.50, while longer-term targets point to $3.00.
The article notes that a break above $1.50 could open the door to a move toward the 50-day EMA. It lists resistance levels at $2.0, $2.5, and $3.0, with support at $1.5 and $1.0. It adds that a sustained move through the EMAs would imply a bullish trend reversal in the medium term.
It also emphasizes that bearish structure remains intact, with $1.0 described as a critical support level. Holding above $1.5 could support a move toward $2.0, while a break below $1.0 would reinforce the bearish short-term outlook. The article reiterates a $2.5 medium-term target and a $3.0 longer-term target, with the possibility of new highs beyond that over a 6–12 month horizon.
Near-term price action is described as being driven by XRP spot ETF flows, US economic indicators and the Fed policy stance, crypto regulatory developments, the BoJ rate path, and geopolitical risks.
Overall, the article frames the outlook as dependent on progress toward a Market Structure Bill and continued favorable ETF flows. It suggests these factors could support a move toward $2.5 in 4–8 weeks and $3.0 in 8–12 weeks, with upside potentially beyond 12 weeks if macro and regulatory conditions remain supportive.
Key downside risks to the bullish medium-term outlook include a hawkish BoJ, cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut in H1 2026, delays or partisan opposition to the Market Structure Bill, and extended XRP spot ETF net outflows.
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