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XRP has been consolidating within a narrow range for the past few days, trading around a pivotal band. The token pushed up to $1.44, attempting a breakout, but later pulled back as the broader crypto market rally cooled near $80,000 for Bitcoin. Even so, on-chain activity showed a notable shift: a large amount of XRP was moved off exchanges in a single day, one of the largest outflow spikes reported this year.
According to Santiment data, XRP recorded its 6th-largest exchange outflow day in 2026. Historically, exchange outflow spikes have tended to coincide with periods when sell pressure eases and accumulation increases.
When tokens leave exchanges, they are generally less likely to be sold immediately. With less supply available for trading, market conditions can tighten, which is why similar spikes have often appeared near local bottoms or early trend reversals. However, outflows are best viewed as a setup signal rather than proof of a sustained move. Without a corresponding price reaction, the bullish pressure remains unconfirmed.
Despite the on-chain signals, XRP is still trading inside a defined range rather than showing a confirmed uptrend. The price is hovering around $1.35 to $1.45, while resistance is cited near $1.60. The higher-timeframe structure is described as neutral to slightly bearish, with momentum building but not yet resolving.
The article highlights a disconnect: on-chain activity points toward a bullish bias, while price action has not confirmed a directional shift. It also notes that RSI is rising and holding its trend line, and that OBV has broken above a descending trend line—signals that the market may be preparing for a breakout. Still, without strong follow-through, the move could stall and face rejection below resistance.
The next phase centers on whether XRP can break above $1.60. A successful move over this resistance would confirm bullish momentum and could open the path toward $1.76, followed by a stronger upside target near $2.13. The article also mentions the possibility of extension toward $2.40+ if buying pressure persists.
If XRP fails to reclaim $1.60, it may remain range-bound. Immediate support is identified at $1.30–$1.35. A breakdown below this support zone would weaken the bullish setup, while a drop under $1.12 would invalidate the structure entirely and signal a shift back toward bearish control.
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