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Rising inflation driven by energy costs is squeezing American consumers, with 65% saying price increases are outpacing their income. In parallel, Bitcoin is trading above $62,000 on April 18, according to prediction-market pricing that shows a 99.9% YES outcome.
Inflation rose from 2.4% to 3.3% in March, with the uptick attributed to the Iran conflict. The move has contributed to bearish sentiment for Bitcoin, as traders view higher inflation as a potential drag on crypto risk appetite. Despite that, current odds still indicate confidence in holding above $62,000.
WTI crude oil is cited as reaching $160 in April, underscoring how energy disruptions are shaping expectations. The market’s positioning suggests traders anticipate continued strain tied to the Iran conflict, supporting a bullish case for oil.
Bitcoin market daily volume is reported at $356,534. The article also notes that the largest move over the last 24 hours was near-zero, pointing to price stability even as underlying tension remains.
The backdrop of rising inflation could lead to policy tightening, which may reduce crypto liquidity. However, the article characterizes current inflationary pressures as more likely “noise than a permanent shift” for Bitcoin, rather than a sustained change in the outlook.
At 99.9¢, a YES share returns $1 if Bitcoin stays above $62,000 by April 18. For a sharp downturn to become plausible, the article says major geopolitical resolutions or sudden market shifts would likely need to occur.
The article advises monitoring Fed statements and any changes in US-Iran relations. It also flags potential catalysts including Trump’s next speech and a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which could shift both oil and crypto markets.
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