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Bitcoin is trading between a potential momentum recovery signal and a key resistance test that could still lead to another pullback. One chart points to early bottoming conditions on the monthly timeframe, while another highlights a price zone bulls must reclaim to support any larger move.
The monthly chart suggests a potential early bottoming setup if momentum stabilizes into the close. SuperBitcoinBro points to the first uptick in the log MACD histogram after a prolonged period of weakening momentum. The note emphasizes that this type of shift has mattered in earlier cycle lows, when the histogram stopped falling and began to turn upward.
That said, the signal is not confirmed yet. Bitcoin still needs to hold the improvement through the monthly close. Until then, the move is described as developing rather than a confirmed reversal.
The chart also frames the possibility that momentum could be stabilizing even if price remains below recent highs. If the histogram closes higher for the month, traders may interpret it as fading downside pressure. If it fails by month end, the bottoming case would weaken.
At the same time, Bitcoin is pressing into a make-or-break resistance area near $73,000 to $74,000. The zone is important because a clean reclaim could allow another move higher. The chart’s upside targets are listed near $76,472 and then around $80,600.
However, the setup remains cautious. Ted Pillows suggests that even if Bitcoin breaks back above the resistance band, the move may represent a final rally rather than the start of a new sustained uptrend. In this view, the recovery zone could function as a last bounce before broader weakness returns.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $73,000 to $74,000 area, the chart indicates continued pressure toward lower support zones. Support is highlighted around $65,816, followed by a level near $60,421.
If those supports break, the next lower targets shown are near $55,123 and $52,507. Overall, the structure is described as fragile: reclaiming resistance could produce one more upside leg, but losing momentum would keep the risk of new lows in play.
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