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Bitcoin (BTC) is eyeing a potential rally toward the $86,000–$90,000 range over the next few weeks, mirroring a breakout setup seen in Q2 2025. The bullish outlook is supported by increased whale activity and a notable decline in large BTC inflows to exchanges, which have fallen by $5 billion over the past two months.
BTC reached a weekly high of $73,255 on Friday after testing the $72,000 level earlier in the week. Over the past four days, price has compressed in a $70,000–$72,000 range, with the higher trading band showing more stability than in March, when BTC corrected quickly after reaching a key level.
Technical indicators are converging below the current price: the 30-day rolling volume-weighted average price (VWAP), which reflects where most recent trading activity has occurred, and the 50-day moving average have both moved below BTC, forming a dynamic support base.
The $76,000 level is described as the upper boundary of a 64-day sideways phase. A move above $76,000 would align with a descending trendline formed after the October highs near $126,000. Breaking above that trendline could mark a major shift and remove a psychological barrier that has capped rallies over the past few months.
The article notes that in Q2 2025, a similar compression occurred below moving averages. After price cleared the descending trendline at that time, it expanded quickly into the next supply zone. The current structure is presented as mirroring that sequence, with liquidity stacked between $86,000 and $90,000—suggesting a clearer route for price expansion if the bearish trendline breaks.
Crypto analyst Amr Taha said 30-day Bitcoin inflows to exchanges from whales dropped to $2.96 billion, the first sub-$3 billion reading since June 2025. Lower inflows reduce immediate sell-side pressure on exchanges. For comparison, whale inflows to exchanges were as high as $8 billion in February.
Taha also cited a long-term holder realized cap change of $49 billion on April 9, indicating renewed accumulation. He characterized the broader picture as a transfer of supply from weaker to stronger hands across these metrics, pointing to steady absorption rather than aggressive selling.
The article further states that whale-sized orders ranging from $1 million to $10 million pushed spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) above $600 million on April 9. Market analyst CW also referenced renewed buying from other whale cohorts. This activity coincided with price stabilization above $70,000.
With $76,000 identified as a trigger zone, the $86,000–$90,000 range is described as a concentrated liquidity area that could become the next focal point if BTC breaks higher.
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