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Giấy phép số 4978/GP-TTĐT do Sở Thông tin và Truyền thông Hà Nội cấp ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2019 / Giấy phép SĐ, BS GP ICP số 2107/GP-TTĐT do Sở TTTT Hà Nội cấp ngày 13/7/2022.
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Bitcoin has been rising over the past few days despite higher CPI rates, reaching a local high of $73,400. The move has pushed the price above a key resistance zone, which could support a further upside attempt. However, historical patterns cited in the article suggest the current setup does not confirm a market bottom and can occur within ongoing downtrends.
The article points to a pivotal resistance area between $70,972 and $74,585, which it says hints at a potential bullish reversal. Still, it notes that prior price action has not established that Bitcoin has bottomed yet. If the historical pattern repeats, the article warns that BTC could fall sharply, potentially below $50,000.
Bitcoin is described as attempting to stabilize after a sharp correction. The article states that the current MACD is turning positive, with momentum improving. It also highlights that Bitcoin is trading below prior major highs, without a clear higher-high and higher-low structure, and is instead consolidating rather than expanding.
According to the article, the weekly MACD shows signs of a bullish crossover during periods when Bitcoin is in a bear market. It adds that during the 2022 bear markets, Bitcoin saw two corrections of 60% and 40% even after similar bullish crossover signals appeared.
The article says that in previous rallies, the same trade setup led to significant pullbacks two consecutive times. This is presented as evidence that early momentum shifts can act as temporary relief signals rather than true reversals.
It frames the next outcome as dependent on whether Bitcoin can build higher lows and hold the current range, which could support a gradual trend reversal. In the bearish scenario, it suggests another leg down or extended consolidation could lead to a final bottom after a liquidity sweep.
While the article characterizes the weekly MACD as signaling a momentum shift, it emphasizes that it is not a confirmed trend reversal. It states that signals like this can appear before the actual bottom, making price action the only reliable confirmation.
For near-term direction, the article highlights the following levels:
The article concludes that the decisive factor is Bitcoin’s price structure rather than momentum indicators alone.
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