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Dogecoin has tested the $0.1 technical and psychological resistance level twice since February 25, but on both occasions the memecoin failed to break through the supply zone.
Data reviewed in the article indicated that the Funding Rate has been negative since Friday, March 6.
Open Interest (OI) was also rising even as prices moved lower. The Spot CVD was in a downtrend and neared local lows, suggesting spot and speculative participants were increasingly positioned for further downside in the short term.
Social media engagement remained relatively positive over the past month. The Weighted Sentiment showed sharp spikes in recent weeks, indicating bullish online engagement.
The most recent spike in positive engagement and higher Social Volume occurred on March 4, when the leading memecoin approached the $0.1 supply zone. At the same time, the 30-day MVRV briefly moved into positive territory.
Despite these signals, the article notes that short-term holders took profits and prices fell back toward the $0.088 support zone.
The long-term swing structure was described as bearish. Fibonacci retracement levels were cited at $0.117, $0.109, and $0.103, which the article interpreted as key retracement points—implying that attempts to reclaim $0.1 were more consistent with sell signals than a breakout setup.
At the time of writing, $0.088 support from February was under pressure. The article pointed to a steady decline in OBV in recent weeks, a long-term bearish trend, and the RSI failing to rise above the neutral 50 level as reasons sellers were in control.
Further losses were described as likely, with the expectation that traders would look for a drop below local support.
The Liquidation Map highlighted a large cluster of long liquidations between $0.084 and $0.088. The article suggested these higher-leverage liquidations could be swept in the coming days, particularly if Bitcoin continues bearish momentum and falls toward the $63,000–$65,000 local support zone.
Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.
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