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Dogecoin has reclaimed $0.10 and held above this level for four consecutive days, prompting some long-term holders to re-strategize. However, sell-side activity on spot and exchange venues remains elevated, keeping pressure near the $0.10 support zone.
One Dogecoin long-term holder controlling three addresses withdrew 14.06 million DOGE, valued at approximately $5.37 million. The whale acquired the tokens at an average price of $0.382.
After a year of dormancy, the holder transferred all tokens to new addresses, according to Arkham data. Over that period, DOGE fell by 71% from the buying price, reducing the value of the holdings to about $1.5 million—an unrealized loss of more than $3.87 million.
Despite the movement, the whale has not sold yet. If the holder exits, the sale would likely crystallize significant losses. At the same time, selling during a broader market weakness window could undermine recent gains and potentially push DOGE back below $0.10.
Demand for Dogecoin remains weak, with profit-taking increasing. With DOGE stabilizing around $0.10, many market participants appear unconvinced about extended upside, contributing to higher sell-side activity on the spot market.
Binance leads in selling activity, with sell volume reaching 524 million versus 455 million in buying volume. This results in a negative delta of 69 million, indicating seller dominance on spot.
Exchange activity has also reflected ongoing sell-side behavior. Since DOGE reclaimed $0.1 days ago, sellers have remained active on exchanges.
Coinglass data shows the memecoin recorded $737.9 million in Spot inflows over the last five days, while Spot outflows were $721.7 million. Spot netflow therefore stayed positive, with netflow rising to $16.17 million on a five-day timeframe. On daily charts, netflow remains around $792k.
Historically, stronger sell-side activity can weaken markets and pull prices lower if demand does not keep pace. Even so, current momentum signals point to buyers absorbing pressure.
The RSI is around 70, with its signal line at 61, suggesting buyers retain an advantage. The DMI ADX Smoothing positive index is 33, while the negative index is around 6. ADX is also above ADXR, supporting the strength of the prevailing trend.
If DOGE holds $0.10, the analysis suggests it could reclaim $0.11 and potentially target $0.12. However, if sellers intensify—particularly if the whale decides to exit—additional pressure could break the $0.10 support and drive DOGE toward $0.096.
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