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A surge in 24-hour gains across cryptocurrencies has traders watching Ethereum’s potential to hit $4,000 by the end of April, with the market currently at 86% YES. The rally, led by privacy coins like ZEC and XMR, coincides with shifting geopolitical sentiment around the US-Iran conflict. The April 30 market for Ethereum hitting $4,000 sits at 86% YES, supported by strong ETF inflows and a reduced risk of immediate escalation. Ethereum’s short-term price remains elevated as the market prices in sustained momentum. The market for Ethereum staying above $1,900 on April 24 is practically settled, with odds at 99.9% YES. The ceasefire has relieved some pressure on crypto prices, and combined 24h actual USDC traded for this market is $105,853, showing interest but not overwhelming volume. With $26,463 in daily actual USDC traded, the $4,000 market is moderately liquid, leaving room for shifts driven by new developments. Any indication of renewed hostilities could undercut the rally. Buying YES at 86¢ would yield a 1.16x return if Ethereum hits $4,000 by April’s end. That bet depends on continued ETF inflows and no geopolitical reversals. Watch ETF inflow data and ceasefire status closely; either could move this market fast.
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