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The Ethereum Foundation is unstaking $48.9 million worth of ETH, a move that has prompted questions about whether it could translate into selling pressure. In the Ethereum Price in 2026 market, the contract is at 4% YES, unchanged from a week ago, indicating traders do not appear to be pricing in long-term effects from the unstaking.
Attention is also focused on the Ethereum Price in April market, where odds for ETH reaching $4,000 by the end of April were already facing resistance. The $10,000-by-end-of-2026 contract remains flat at 4% YES, with no movement over the past week.
Liquidity conditions are described as thin: the Ethereum market shows about $28 in daily USDC trading volume, while $1,022 in order book depth is needed to move prices by five points. With liquidity at this level, even relatively modest trades can shift the odds on the prediction market.
The unstaking decision is framed as part of a pattern of inconsistent treasury management by the Foundation. The organization previously staked large sums of ETH and later sold portions. The latest move could be preparation for operational expenses or treasury rebalancing, but the content notes there is no confirmation that the unstaked ETH will be sold.
If the ETH is sold, the thin order books on Polymarket’s ETH contracts could increase the likelihood of short-term price swings.
The most direct signal would be any announcement from the Ethereum Foundation explaining what it plans to do with the unstaked ETH.
On the prediction market side, the key items to monitor are changes in order book depth and whether the $10,000 contract moves off its current 4% YES level. The content also highlights that buying YES at 4¢ offers a large potential return if ETH reaches $10,000 by end of 2026, but that outcome would require a major rally against current bearish sentiment.
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