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Fidelity has reportedly purchased $163 million worth of Bitcoin, and prediction markets indicate a bullish outlook for the April 15 Bitcoin price range of $78,000 to $80,000.
The April 15 contract is showing 100% YES probability for Bitcoin trading between $78,000 and $80,000. The April 13 contract is also at 100% YES, indicating Bitcoin is expected to remain above $68,000.
There is currently no 24-hour trading volume reported for these contracts. As a result, the pricing appears to reflect expectations rather than active trading activity.
The $163 million purchase is described as an institutional entry that could attract additional volume in the days that follow. While the contract face value may not directly correspond to USDC spent, the presence of a large institutional buyer is framed as a signal of longer-term positioning.
At current prices, a YES share for Bitcoin above $78,000 by April 15 pays $1. For this payout structure to change, the article points to potential macroeconomic shifts or geopolitical escalations that could force a rapid repricing of risk across crypto markets.
The article highlights monetary policy signals from Jerome Powell and institutional reports from BlackRock and other large allocators as the most likely catalysts for any change in Bitcoin’s near-term direction.
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