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Macro economist Henrik Zeberg has outlined a bullish case for Bitcoin (BTC) to rise to between $110,000 and $120,000 this month, citing a mix of stronger risk appetite, inflows into digital-asset exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and increased institutional adoption.
In an X post dated March 1, Zeberg said his primary outlook places Bitcoin at a cycle peak in the $110,000 to $120,000 range. Based on Bitcoin’s press-time value of $66,052, the target would represent roughly an 80% increase.
Zeberg also described a less likely extension of the rally, assigning a 25% probability that Bitcoin could overshoot into a $140,000 to $150,000 range if market momentum intensifies beyond expectations.
“Bitcoin rallies to $110–120K in the primary scenario – fueled by Risk-On Fever, ETF inflows, and continued institutional adoption. There is a secondary scenario at $140–150K (25% probability) should momentum overshoot into a more extended cycle top,” he said.
Zeberg’s framework links the expected move to broader economic conditions that support a “risk-on” environment. In that setting, investors may rotate toward higher-growth assets such as cryptocurrencies, helped by favorable liquidity and policy signals.
Zeberg extended his analysis beyond Bitcoin. He projected Ethereum (ETH) to reach between $10,000 and $12,000 as its ratio to Bitcoin converges around 10%, pointing to improved relative performance supported by similar institutional interest and network upgrades.
For Solana (SOL), he described it as a high-beta option within the ecosystem, with a potential rise to between $350 and $500. The view is tied to amplified volatility and adoption in decentralized applications.
Zeberg’s comments come as Bitcoin trades around $70,000 after a sharp correction from its 2025 high of over $126,000. The pullback is described as nearing 50%, which analysts say is consistent with historical patterns, though they note ETF involvement may have helped cushion declines compared with past cycles.
Volatility has also been influenced by geopolitical tensions involving U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran. Bitcoin reportedly dipped toward $60,000 before rebounding to as high as $68,000, and it has since been pressured since the 2025 peak above $126,000, entering what many characterize as a bearish consolidation phase.
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