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After a weak start to the year, XRP’s price appears to have stabilized in recent sessions, prompting some investors to look for relief. However, the latest on-chain analysis indicates the cryptocurrency may not have reached its true local price bottom yet.
In a post on X, on-chain analyst Joao Wedson said XRP has not yet entered the early phases of a price rebound, countering expectations that a bottom may already be in place. Wedson’s view is based on the Number of Days Spent At A Profit metric.
This indicator tracks how long current XRP holders have been in profit relative to prior price levels—essentially measuring the number of days since XRP was last traded above the holders’ cost basis.
Wedson noted that this metric has historically moved to extreme levels during periods when XRP entered major rebound phases. In the current situation, however, XRP is still trading well below the historical “hallmark” zones where such extremes typically appear.
At the same time, blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported a notable expansion in XRP Ledger activity, driven largely by growth in the number of small wallets holding XRP.
Santiment said the largest increase came from wallets commonly referred to as “shrimp”, defined as holding less than 100 XRP. These wallets have added about 5.66 million separate addresses, indicating broader participation by smaller holders.
Wallets holding between 100 and 100,000 XRP have also grown, reaching an estimated 2.01 million wallets. Santiment’s data suggests this segment—described as mid-tier investors—could reflect additional accumulation by more serious market participants.
In contrast, Santiment reported that wallets holding more than 100,000 XRP have shown only minimal growth, capped at around 32,054 addresses. The report implies this group may be more involved in distribution or repositioning rather than driving a strong directional move.
With limited evidence of large-holder (“whale”) influence, the analysis suggests XRP’s local bottom may still be lower than current levels. As of the time of writing, XRP is trading at approximately $1.44, down about 0.4% over the past day.
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