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Pi is trading between $0.165 and $0.178 and has remained in that range for weeks. While the price action is bearish, several developments outside the chart are providing potential support.
The key level to watch is $0.171. Until Pi closes a daily candle above $0.171, the recovery thesis remains on hold. Resistance levels build quickly above that point:
One constructive chart signal is the MACD, which has flattened to zero for the first time since February. This suggests selling pressure is fading, though it does not confirm that buyers have fully returned.
The most immediate catalyst is the April 27 deadline for all node operators to upgrade to Protocol 22. Missing the deadline will result in nodes being disconnected from the network, with no exceptions.
The upgrade sequence is moving quickly:
Developers are also being told to prepare applications for smart contract compatibility, a shift that could expand what Pi supports as a platform.
Three developments stand out this week beyond price:
Despite the constructive signals, there is a near-term supply overhang. Approximately 230 million PI tokens are set to unlock over the next 30 days, which could add consistent sell pressure regardless of chart momentum or whale activity.
Pi is expected to hold the $0.165 to $0.18 range through the remainder of April. Analysts cited in the article say that a daily close above $0.1715 could open the path toward $0.20, while a sustained move above $0.19 would be needed for a more genuine recovery signal.
With whale accumulation and exhausted bearish momentum suggesting a potential floor, the upgrade deadline, smart contract roadmap, and the Consensus Miami appearance are the main catalysts to monitor. Whether the price reacts to them in the coming week remains the central question for Pi holders.
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