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Solana’s (SOL) weekly chart has produced a MACD buy signal, a technical development that has historically preceded substantial price rallies. The token is currently trading near $85–$86 after pulling back from its weekly peak around $89.
On the weekly timeframe, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has crossed above its signal line. The same crossover pattern appeared in May 2025, before a rally that pushed SOL from roughly $125 to beyond $250—an increase of nearly 100%.
Earlier instances of the signal were followed by even larger moves, including an 860% surge in 2023 and a 617% advance in 2021.
Solana’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded to 35 from a mid-February low of 25. The reading is notable because it matches RSI levels seen during Solana’s 2022 bear-market capitulation, which later preceded a 2,500% rally that reached $210 by March 2024.
Analyst Tyler Hill noted that SOL’s RSI declined below 35 for the first time in 1,200 days. Hill said the prior occurrence of such extreme readings marked the bear-market floor and was followed by a subsequent 3,000% price expansion.
Analyst Sixtysecondalpha added that the MACD crossover came after its lowest stretch ever. Combined with bullish divergence on the RSI, they concluded SOL is positioned for what could be its most powerful move in the past two years.
On the daily chart, SOL has formed a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern. The key breakout threshold is set at $90. If price action confirms a daily close above $90, the pattern’s measured move projects a target near $130, implying roughly a 50% gain from current levels.
The daily RSI has recovered to 52 from deeply oversold conditions of 11 recorded on February 6, indicating an improvement in underlying momentum.
The $90–$96 corridor is described as a major obstacle for continued upside. Glassnode data shows that about 9.9 million Solana tokens are held by market participants with an average entry price between $90 and $92. A portion of these holders may seek to exit near breakeven, which could add selling pressure and slow upward momentum.
Additional resistance is reinforced by the convergence of 100-day moving averages within the same zone.
Solana is currently holding support in the $85–$86 area as buyers attempt to regain the $90 threshold.
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