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ASTER [ASTER] has traded within a descending channel since it was rejected near $0.79 in early March. More recently, the altcoin has consolidated in a narrow band between $0.65 and $0.68. At the time of writing, ASTER traded at $0.65, up 0.06% on the day but down 1.8% on the week.
With the market stuck in a tight range, long-term investors appear to be reducing exposure. Arkham data shows that a whale transferred 4.96 million ASTER, valued at approximately $3.25 million, to a new address.
After the transfer, the whale deposited the tokens into AsterDex. The move can indicate either selling activity or staking, depending on how the platform is used.
Given the whale’s prior behavior, the transfer is more likely to be associated with closing positions. The whale accumulated $80.61 million worth of ASTER at a high of $1.61 per ASTER in September 2025. Since then, ASTER has fallen by 59.3%, implying the whale faces an estimated $4.74 million loss tied to the position.
As long-term holders shift their holdings, ASTER is experiencing strong bearish pressure and downward momentum. The Momentum Shift indicator has remained negative for nearly 30 consecutive days, sitting around -0.05 at the time of writing, which suggests sellers have maintained control.
Similarly, the DMI Modified indicator has stayed in negative territory for nearly two weeks, reinforcing the view that market conditions remain weak. With both indicators aligned, the altcoin is likely to see prolonged downside pressure.
Under this scenario, ASTER could break below the $0.64 support level and move toward it further.
Despite the bearish momentum, there are signs that sellers may be losing strength. CoinGlass data indicates that exchange outflows have dominated recently. Over the last 5 days, $77.14 million worth of ASTER flowed out of exchanges versus $71.6 million in inflows.
As a result, spot netflow fell to -$5.49 million over the same period, and it has declined further on shorter timeframes. A dominant outflow can signal that buyers are returning and attempting to absorb selling pressure.
Even so, demand has not been strong enough to trigger a clear recovery, leaving ASTER largely range-bound.
If buyers continue accumulating while seller exhaustion increases, ASTER may test and potentially breach the $0.7 resistance level and target $0.76.

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