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Whales have accumulated 360 million XRP over the past week, while the Polymarket contract for XRP trading above $0.90 on April 15 is showing 100% YES.
XRP is trading in a range of $1.30 to $1.50, down 60% from a July 2025 peak. Whale holdings now total 11.33 billion XRP, with daily whale purchases exceeding 11 million tokens. The accumulation follows the XRP Tokyo 2026 conference, where Ripple executives presented. The April 15 market remains at 100% YES.
The $0.90 threshold is roughly 30–40% below where XRP is currently trading, which helps explain the 100% odds. The more notable signal is whale behavior during a consolidation phase: large holders adding 360 million tokens in a single week while the token remains well below its highs suggests these buyers may be positioning for a price recovery rather than further downside toward $0.90.
However, the contract does not include visible trading volume data. As a result, the 100% figure may be influenced by thin liquidity and speculative positioning rather than strong market conviction.
A move above $1.65 could trigger a short squeeze. Key variables include whether whale accumulation continues at the current pace, exchange trading volumes (including on Binance and Kraken), and Federal Reserve monetary policy signals that could affect risk appetite across crypto markets. While the $0.90 floor appears well out of reach at current prices, a broader market selloff could bring that level back into focus.
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