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XRP is struggling at $1.35 as the market braces for a volatile week. Data tracked on Binance points to a supply dynamic that has not yet fully translated into a decisive shift on the price chart.
An Arab Chain report monitoring supply dynamics on Binance identified a key reading: XRP’s scarcity indicator reached 0.59, the highest level since 2024. The report links this to a specific change in market availability—supply of XRP available for immediate sale on the platform is contracting rather than expanding.
What the metric implies
The report frames the scarcity indicator as more than a supply measure. A higher scarcity reading is described as a behavioral signal of who is holding XRP and what they are likely to do with it. In this case, the data suggests short-term sellers that previously dominated are being replaced by long-term holders accumulating quietly, withdrawing from exchanges, and removing coins from the sell-side pool.
Accumulation phase conditions
Arab Chain cautions that the accumulation thesis depends on two conditions continuing: overall market sentiment must keep improving, and exchange supply must continue to contract. If both persist, the report says the setup for stronger price movement would build gradually but structurally.
At the time of reporting, XRP is trading at $1.3510, up 1.75% on the day. The session opened at $1.3279, reached $1.3669, and is holding modest gains into the afternoon.
Despite the daily rise, the broader chart context remains negative. The article describes a descending pattern that has persisted for months: XRP peaked near $3.90 in late July 2025 and then formed a sequence of lower highs in August, October, January, and March. Each rally, according to the report, was sold into at a lower level than the prior one.
The report also highlights the February capitulation move to $1.15, which it says was accompanied by the heaviest sell volume on the entire chart. That low is described as the floor the market is currently defending, though the article notes it has not yet become a confirmed base.
While the current candle is characterized as constructive, the article says the trend around it has not changed. It states that XRP would need a daily close above $1.45 to begin indicating that a post-capitulation range is forming rather than the pattern continuing toward lower levels.
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