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XRP is trading near the top of its month-long consolidation band, with the price holding between roughly $1.35 and $1.45. With April nearing its end—six days left until the month closes—analysts are watching whether XRP can break upward before the deadline or slips lower and accelerates a downside move.
In a technical update shared on social media, analyst Bull Winkle said the next major confirmation for XRP will come from its monthly performance. He argued that bulls need a monthly close above $1.90.
Winkle described $1.90 as more than a resistance level, framing it as a demand-zone “hold” signal and a reclaim of the 2021 resistance area, now acting as support.
If XRP clears $1.90 on a monthly close, Winkle said it would set up retests higher on the chart, including a potential path toward $2.90.
He also provided recovery math based on current trading around $1.43: a move toward $1.90 would represent about a 32% recovery. He further estimated a potential 102% rally up to the $2.90 area.
On the downside, Winkle said the most decisive bearish signal would be a monthly close below $1.27. In his view, that would open the path for a faster move toward $1, with an Elliott Wave C-style correction potentially placing XRP in a broader $0.60 to $0.75 range.
Winkle characterized this as severe, estimating it could equate to around a 58% decline from the current trading zone.
Beyond price levels, Winkle emphasized momentum using the relative strength index (RSI). He noted that the monthly RSI at 47 is not showing divergence in either direction yet, which for him suggests the market has not reached a “high conviction” point for the monthly setup.
He said RSI would need to turn more decisively—either bouncing strongly above 55 to confirm a bullish phase, or falling below 40 with a trajectory toward the 30 area, which he described as a capitulation-type bottom.
Winkle’s summary of the immediate decision area is straightforward: the $1.27 to $1.43 range is where the outcome is likely being determined ahead of the month close.
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