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Zcash (ZEC) has rebounded sharply after bouncing off the $300 support level. The token is up 11% over the past 24 hours, with trading volumes rising 76% to nearly 11% of circulating market cap, valued at $630 million. ZEC is trading above $350 as market sentiment improves, while oil prices hover slightly above $90 amid relative stabilization in the Middle East.
The Fear and Greed Index has moved into “Greed” territory for the first time since October 2025, reversing from “Extreme Fear” levels seen in February. The article notes that such sentiment turnarounds often coincide with local or cycle bottoms, which for ZEC would be around the $200 area.
Liquidations have also spiked in recent days, reaching $2–$3 million, consistent with an ongoing short squeeze. The piece adds that earlier in the month, liquidations exceeded $10 million when ZEC climbed above $300, and it expects similar activity if the market pushes ZEC above $400 in the next few days.
According to Artemis data cited in the article, ZEC’s weekly trading volumes have approached levels that previously preceded high-conviction moves. The article states that weekly volumes rose above $4 billion in October 2025 during a rally from $166 to $700 within two months, and that similar volume behavior has appeared during other trend changes.
For the current week, CoinMarketCap data shows volumes of $1.8 billion from Monday to Thursday, implying a $3.1 billion weekly run-rate if the pace continues. The article concludes that this is still below the $4 billion threshold, but close enough to watch for confirmation if volumes break higher.
On the daily chart, the article describes a triple bottom around $200 between February and March, followed by a break above a descending triangle. It also notes that ZEC has moved above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), shifting the trend from bearish to bullish.
After breaking above $300, ZEC retested the level from above and consolidated its bounce. The article frames this as setting up a move toward a near-term target of $500, representing roughly 41% upside from current levels discussed in the piece. It also highlights that the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose to 80 (described as overbought), pulled back, then climbed again above 50 to 64—signaling bullish momentum remains intact.
The article discusses Zcash’s shielded pools, which are used to mask the identity of token holders. It states that shielded transactions account for about 20% of all Zcash activity, suggesting most demand is speculative rather than driven primarily by the privacy layer. However, it adds that shielded usage is higher than in 2024.
Between September and November 2025, when ZEC rallied to a local high of $740, shielded transactions represented around a quarter of network activity. The article says these levels have historically aligned with prior price expansion phases.
The article references a prior trading setup at $328 with a 4.4x risk-reward profile, stating the trade is already in profit following a strong spike and continuation. It identifies the first take-profit target at the $400 area, where the trade would yield 1.5x. The described risk management approach is to cut the position in half and move the stop to break-even once the $400 target is reached, while keeping the remainder open with a $500 target.
It also notes three consecutive buy signals on the daily chart when ZEC traded below $300, and expects another buy signal if ZEC trades above $300. The base case presented is a breakout above $400 in the near term if bullish momentum persists, followed by a retest from above and then a move toward $500.
Despite bullish indicators on higher time frames, the article points to a cluster of “sell” signals on the 4-hour chart as ZEC retreated from the $400 level. It argues that ZEC needs to break past this sell wall to keep the rally intact; otherwise, the risk is a sharper decline that could potentially revisit levels below $300.
The piece says it would look for a similar cluster of “buy” signals after the bounce to confirm that buying interest has returned, improving the odds of a sustained move above $400 and continuation toward the $500 target.
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