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XRP has never lacked ambitious price forecasts, but a warning from crypto analyst ChartNerd targets the extreme end of that optimism.
With XRP trading at $1.39, down more than 60% from its all-time high of $3.65 reached in July 2025, ChartNerd argues that some of the most aggressive projections circulating in the market are unrealistic and could mislead investors.
Across multiple crypto cycles—alongside developments such as lawsuits and legal victories, exchange delistings, and regulatory clarity—the XRP community has generated some of the most far-reaching price forecasts in the sector.
Those predictions have included scenarios in which XRP could be repriced to levels such as $100, $1,000, and even as high as $18,000 and $25,000.
ChartNerd’s view is that these targets are more dangerous and less grounded than sub-$1 calls, which he says are at least tied to historical patterns. The concern is not that XRP cannot rise, but that some of the numbers being attached to the token are far above what the chart and circulating supply indicate.
In the accompanying video referenced in the post, the speaker also pointed out that the $1,000 narrative has been discussed for years without materializing. The issue, according to the analyst, is not bullishness itself, but bullishness becoming detached from market reality.
ChartNerd argues that the bearish case for XRP returning below $1 is more rooted in historical data. He cites a specific technical framework: the Gaussian channel.
According to the analyst, XRP has repeatedly returned to the lower regression band of this channel in every bear market. On that basis, he says there remains a chance the token could decline further to revisit that band.
ChartNerd’s estimate for the current cycle’s bottom is in the $0.70 to $0.91 range.
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