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Over the years, Bitcoin has shown a relatively consistent bull-cycle pattern, often spanning a similar number of days from one bull market to the next. Some market participants have used this historical timing to estimate when a new bull market could begin and when the subsequent bear market might start.
Crypto analyst @0xbeehive said on X (formerly Twitter) that a timing trend has repeated across the last two cycles and could recur again. The approach focuses on the number of days between bull markets and the point at which the next bear market begins.
In the analyst’s view, the current bear cycle is still ongoing and has not yet finished. The chart cited by the analyst suggests the bear market could bottom in the last quarter of 2026, with Bitcoin reaching around $47,000.
The analyst also expects a bull run lasting another 1,065 days. The projection includes “diminishing returns” compared with prior cycles, and suggests Bitcoin could cross $200,000—an outcome described as an over 5x return from the level referenced for the bear-market bottom.
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