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The cryptocurrency market has slightly retraced following its earlier rally. However, Ripple’s XRP is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The coin has lost nearly 2% of its value in the last 24 hours and is trading around $1.41. XRP could resume its rally as sentiment across the crypto market steadies amid the extension of the United States (US)-Iran ceasefire. While neither country has committed to a second round of peace talks, the ceasefire appears to be containing volatility in global markets.
Risk appetite may improve further if sentiment continues to rise. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 59 in “greed” territory on Thursday, up from 23 last week and from 8 in extreme fear territory in March. If the index keeps moving higher, demand for risk assets such as XRP could increase.
XRP is down nearly 2% over the past 24 hours but remains above $1.40. The positive performance is supported by elevated interest in XRP, reflected in the Open Interest (OI)-Weighted Funding Rate averaging 0.0066% on Wednesday. CoinGlass data shows the perpetual futures metric has stayed in positive territory since April 3, indicating an overall bullish outlook as traders increasingly hold long positions.
A moderately positive OI Weighted Funding Rate of 0.0066% suggests the retail market is not overstretched or euphoric, which can leave room for additional upside if momentum persists.
Technically, XRP bulls are focused on the 100-day EMA at $1.54. The XRP/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient, with the asset trading within a range in recent weeks. The near-term bias is neutral to slightly constructive.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.41 is acting as near-term support. A bounce back above this level would strengthen bullish momentum. However, XRP is still below the 100-day EMA at $1.54 and the longer-term 200-day EMA at $1.78.
Momentum indicators are supportive but not extreme. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is modestly above zero on the daily chart, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 52—suggesting positive upside pressure without being overextended.
If the bullish trend resumes, buyers are likely to face immediate resistance at the 100-day EMA around $1.54, which is about a 7% increase from the current spot price. A sustained break above that level could bring the descending trendline near $1.68 into focus, followed by the 200-day EMA at $1.78.
If resistance around $1.54 holds, sellers could regain control and push XRP toward the initial support area at the 50-day EMA near $1.41. A daily close back below this demand zone would weaken the current constructive tone and could open the door to a deeper pullback within the broader downtrend.
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