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Bitcoin hit a monthly high of $79,472 on Wednesday, posting its strongest 28-day return since April 2025. The move has been accompanied by a shift in a market positioning metric and an increase in leverage use, according to market data cited by analysts.
Axel Adler Jr., a Bitcoin researcher, said the Bitcoin positioning index has turned higher. Its 30-day average rose to 4.5 from -10.9 in February. The indicator combines net taker flow direction, open interest trends, funding, and exchange balance into a single metric.
Adler noted that the index has climbed steadily since late March, moving from 0.4 to current levels, suggesting improvement in positioning without a break in the broader price trend.
The same direction is reflected in open interest. The 30-day change in open interest stands at +14.5%, with 23 of the past 30 sessions closing positive. Rising positioning alongside expanding open interest indicates new capital is entering derivatives markets.
Over the past 24 hours, aggregated open interest increased 6.7% to 260,000 BTC. Over the weekend, leverage fell by 10.7% as price dropped 10.7%.
Bitcoin moved above a descending trendline dating back to the October 2025 peak near $126,000 and has reclaimed the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA). This is described as a shift on the higher time frame from bearish toward neutral-to-bullish.
$81,000 is the first test area. A small fair-value gap suggests a liquidity imbalance; if price holds, it would indicate buyers are accepting higher prices.
$88,000 marks a supply zone tied to prior distribution. The $88,000–$91,000 range is highlighted as a key supply area formed during a phase when large volumes of Bitcoin last changed hands. Many holders are reportedly near break-even or slightly in profit, which can increase activity when price revisits the zone.
The realized price for the three–to–six-month holder cohort sits at $91,600, reinforcing the $88,000–$91,000 area as a major decision point. A sustained move through the range would suggest buyers are absorbing overhead supply.
Crypto analyst Crazzyblockk pointed to a tight range where $72,000–$75,000 acts as a floor, supported by clusters of realized prices from mid-term holders. A break below this band would increase the risk of reactive selling.
On the upside, $83,000–$85,000 is described as a profit-taking zone for recent short-term holders. Strength through this area would indicate buyers are absorbing supply and could allow momentum to build.
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