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Bitcoin open interest has declined sharply, highlighting a weak structural foundation in the market. On-chain analyst Carmelo Alemán said BTC’s recent pullback coincides with a notable drop in derivatives exposure.
Open interest fell from roughly $27 billion to $24 billion. Alemán said the pattern is consistent with long position closures and progressive deleveraging rather than aggressive selling.
In his view, the earlier rally did not reflect strong spot demand and was instead largely supported by leveraged positions. The current decline in open interest captures the scope of the unwind, with long positions closing at a steady pace and pulling down overall derivatives exposure.
Alemán linked the correction to a derivatives-heavy market structure. He previously raised concerns that the bullish move lacked structural consistency, and the subsequent price action has aligned with that assessment.
Heatmap analysis on the one-hour timeframe, based on TradingDifferent visual data, found no major contiguous liquidity zones in the relevant area. This, he said, reduces the likelihood that the move was driven by liquidity hunting or stop-loss sweeps.
Instead, the price action is described as reflecting capital outflows rather than directional pressure from either side.
Funding rates have stayed slightly positive even as Bitcoin’s price continues to pull back. Alemán said this is an important signal for understanding who is driving the move.
Positive funding rates indicate that long traders are still paying short traders a small periodic fee, suggesting shorts are not the dominant force pushing prices lower at this stage.
He added that the market does not appear to be attacking the downside in a coordinated way. The correction is more consistent with orderly reduction of derivatives exposure than with a fresh bearish trend forming.
Alemán said the open interest contraction is clearing excess leverage accumulated during the earlier rally. Once the deleveraging process runs its course, the market may be able to form a more stable structural base.
Overall, his analysis frames the price decline as a consequence of previously identified fragility in market structure, rather than a new bearish catalyst.
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