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XRP has spent much of the past three months in a persistent downtrend, sliding from a January peak above $2.40 to lows near $1.28 in early April. During the period, the token has traded in a range between $1.33 and $1.45 as sell pressure built across the broader crypto market.
The SuperTrend indicator is now printing a signal that has not appeared since XRP was trading near its 2026 peak. Analyst Ali Martinez said the development could mark the start of a meaningful trend reversal.
Martinez pointed to a bullish flip on XRP’s daily chart for the first time since January 17. The SuperTrend indicator, which is designed to track trend direction and function as a dynamic support/resistance band, had been in sell mode for nearly four months.
In the lead-up to the change, XRP touched $1.50 on April 17 and then closed the daily session at $1.40. Martinez said the close—marginally above the SuperTrend line—was the trigger for the bullish flip, indicating that bearish momentum has weakened enough for buyers to regain control.
While the bullish SuperTrend signal is described as a necessary condition for a reversal, Martinez emphasized it is not sufficient on its own. He identified $1.55 as the level that will determine whether the move can develop into a sustained rally or fade.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.42 to $1.44. Martinez noted that approximately 60% of XRP’s circulating supply is held at an average cost basis near $1.44. As a result, pushes into the $1.40 to $1.45 area have encountered a dense wall of “underwater” holders looking to exit.
According to Martinez, a clean daily close above $1.55 would help clear this supply overhang and could trigger a relief rally.
If XRP clears $1.55 with a strong daily close, Martinez said the next phase of the move could accelerate quickly. He identified the $1.90 region as the primary upside objective for the projected move.
As long as XRP remains above the SuperTrend line, the indicator is expected to continue acting as trailing support and maintaining a buy signal.
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