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Bitcoin fell about 3% to trade below $71,000 ahead of Sunday’s weekly close after negotiations between the US and Iran to end the war broke down.
TradingView data showed BTC dipping below $71,000 following news of a sudden breakdown in negotiations between the US and Iran in Islamabad, Pakistan.
Commentary from market participants linked the renewed risk to potential inflation pressure. Kobeissi said US CPI inflation “just jumped from 2.4% to 3.3%,” and that further escalation of the Iran war could push inflation to “4.0%+,” according to his models.
Kobeissi also cited Iranian media saying there are “currently no plans for additional talks.”
The Strait of Hormuz returned to focus as US President Donald Trump demanded it be reopened, adding to concerns about wider economic spillovers.
With Bitcoin among the few assets trading around the clock, it reacted quickly to the developing situation. CoinGlass data indicated BTC/USD moved through long liquidations, with the liquidation total for the past 24 hours nearing $350 million.
Trader Michaël Van de Poppe wrote that volatility remained high and that there may not be a scenario where “risk-on assets will do well” if the market consensus stays the same.
Van de Poppe suggested that economic weakness tied to the renewed war could force the Federal Reserve to provide liquidity even as inflation rises.
“On a larger scale, I think that we're currently in a sufficiently weak economy and the FED has no other option than to start printing again to positively influence the economy,” he argued.
Next week’s calendar includes additional inflation signals from the March Producer Price Index (PPI) print, alongside remarks from multiple senior Fed officials.

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